Chapter 3 of 615% of exam

Overview of Securities Investments

This opening topic frames the whole paper: the shape of the markets, the forces that move prices, and the core investment ideas of risk, return and time value of money. Many questions are conceptual or involve one-step calculations, so precision with definitions and simple formulas pays off.

Market structure and venues

Securities markets divide along two axes. By maturity, the money market deals in short-term instruments up to about one year (Treasury and Exchange Fund Bills, commercial paper, CDs), while the capital market deals in longer-term bonds and equities. By asset, the equity market trades ownership, the debt market trades borrowing, and the derivatives market trades contracts whose value derives from an underlying. Overlaid on both is the primary market (new issues, money to the issuer) versus the secondary market (trading between investors). In Hong Kong the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong operates a Main Board for established companies and GEM (formerly the Growth Enterprise Market) as a market for smaller or less-seasoned companies, alongside major overseas venues such as the NYSE, Nasdaq, LSE and Mainland exchanges.

Indices and the drivers of prices

The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is Hong Kong's best-known benchmark, tracking the largest and most liquid SEHK-listed companies; it sits within a wider Hang Seng family that includes the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) and the Hang Seng TECH Index. International benchmarks such as the S&P 500 (US), Nikkei 225 (Japan) and FTSE 100 (UK) are common distractors. Prices are driven by macro forces: interest rates, inflation, the economic cycle, exchange rates and political events. The relationship most tested is that a central bank raising its policy rate tends to depress equity valuations, because higher rates increase discount rates and the appeal of cash and bonds. Cyclical companies rise and fall with the economy, while defensive stocks (utilities, staples) hold up better in downturns. A yield curve plots yields against maturities and signals expectations about rates and growth.

Types of investment risk

Paper 8 asks you to name and distinguish risks precisely. Systematic (market) risk affects the whole market and cannot be diversified away; unsystematic (specific) risk is company- or sector-specific and can be reduced by diversification. Other named risks include credit (default) risk that a borrower fails to pay; liquidity risk that an asset cannot be sold quickly at a fair price; inflation (purchasing-power) risk that returns fail to keep pace with prices; interest-rate risk that rising rates cut bond and asset values; currency (exchange-rate) risk on foreign holdings; and reinvestment risk that future cash flows must be reinvested at lower rates. Two statistical measures recur: standard deviation, which quantifies the variability of returns, and beta, which measures a share's sensitivity to overall market movements (a beta above 1 amplifies market moves).

Measuring return

Return questions are usually one-liners, so know the definitions cold. Total return combines income (dividends or coupons) and capital gain. Holding-period return is (ending price minus starting price plus income) divided by starting price: buying at HK$10, receiving a HK$0.50 dividend and selling at HK$11 gives (11 - 10 + 0.50)/10 = 15%; buying at HK$50 and selling at HK$56 with no dividend gives 6/50 = 12%. Dividend yield is annual dividend divided by price. A nominal return ignores inflation while a real return adjusts for it: a 7% return with 3% inflation is approximately a 4% real return. A gross return is before costs and tax; a net return is after them. Annualising restates a return as an equivalent yearly rate so periods can be compared fairly.

Time value of money

Money available now is worth more than the same amount later, because it can be invested. Compounding grows a sum: HK$1,000 at 5% compounded annually becomes 1,000 x 1.05^2 = HK$1,102.50 after two years. Discounting reverses this: the present value of HK$1,100 received in one year at a 10% discount rate is 1,100/1.10 = HK$1,000. Simple interest is paid only on the principal, while compound interest is paid on principal plus accumulated interest, so more frequent compounding produces a higher effective return. The 'rule of 72' gives a quick doubling time: at 6% a year, money doubles in roughly 72/6 = 12 years. These mechanics underpin bond pricing and the discounted-cash-flow valuations covered in the analysis topic.

Portfolio principles and investor objectives

The risk-return trade-off states that higher expected return normally demands accepting higher risk; an unusually high advertised yield is a warning sign, not a free lunch. Diversification works because combining securities that are imperfectly correlated smooths the portfolio's overall volatility, cutting unsystematic risk without necessarily cutting expected return. Asset allocation, the split between equities, bonds, cash and other assets, is the main driver of a portfolio's risk profile; a common risk ranking runs cash, then bonds, then equities. Investor objectives shape the mix: an income investor favours dividend-paying shares and bonds, a growth investor accepts volatility for capital appreciation, and a capital-preservation investor holds low-risk assets. Risk tolerance (willingness to bear loss) is distinct from risk capacity (ability to bear it, which rises with a longer time horizon). Dollar-cost averaging, investing a fixed sum at regular intervals, buys more units when prices are low and fewer when high, smoothing the average entry cost.

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