保险基本原理第 222 / 531 题

An insurer that writes 60,000 similar small commercial buildings predicts its yearly fire losses far more closely than one writing 600. The reason is:

a.the law of large numbers, which sharpens the loss forecast
b.the principle of indemnity, which caps what a claim can pay
c.the doctrine of utmost good faith binding both of the parties
d.adverse selection, which pulls poorer risks to a pool

解析

The law of large numbers says that as the number of similar, independent exposure units grows, actual results move closer to the predicted results, which is what lets an insurer price a class. Adverse selection describes who buys coverage, not how accurately losses can be forecast. Indemnity limits recovery to the amount of loss and has nothing to do with forecasting accuracy.

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